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有三间屋子，A、B、C，一件礼物a，这件礼物被放到了三间屋子中的一个，现在让你来猜礼物在哪间屋子里。

很明显，随便猜一个，猜中的概率为1/3，这个很简单，但接下来的问题是：

如果你选择的屋子是X，在放礼物的人知情的情况下，他打开了一间屋子，这间屋子：

1. 不是你所选择的屋子X
2. 不是包含礼物的屋子Y

问，剩下两间屋子中，X和另一间屋子Z中有礼物的概率如何？

答案并不是显而易见的……

It is really Orphean strains.

The ablum was “If I Could Tell You”, published in 2000. I am not sure whether I can finally obtain a original CD copy or two, but I think it is valuable to have one.

MP3 Here. It was said to be written by Henry VIII of England.

Lyric:

Alas my love, you do me wrong
To cast me off discourteously
I have loved you all so long
Delighting in your company

Greensleeves was all my joy
Greensleeves was my delight
Greensleeves was my heart of gold
And who but my Lady Greensleeves

I have been ready at your hand
To grant whatever you would crave
I have both waged life and land
Your love and good will for to have

Greensleeves was all my joy
Greensleeves was my delight
Greensleeves was my heart of gold
And who but my Lady Greensleeves

Thou couldst desire no earthly thing
But still thou hadst it readily
Thy music still to play and sing
And yet thou wouldst not love me

Greensleeves was all my joy
Greensleeves was my delight
Greensleeves was my heart of gold
And who but my Lady Greensleeves

Greensleeves now farewell adieu
God I pray to prosper thee
For I am still thy lover true
Come once again and love me

Greensleeves was all my joy
Greensleeves was my delight
Greensleeves was my heart of gold
And who but my Lady Greensleeves

MP3

笑就歌颂一皱眉头就心痛
我没空理会我只感受你的感受
你要往哪走把我灵魂也带走
它为你着了魔留着有什么用

听《校园民谣》里的这首歌，总是能让我想起以前很多无忧无虑的日子……

No MP3 Available this time.

词/曲：叶佳修

（独白：「爸爸有双草鞋 搁在鞋柜上 他常默默的盯着它望
　仿佛注视着 茫茫海上的一艘船 不久 一颗泪滴到鞋上
　引出这段故事 好长 好长 …… 」）

我的天空为何挂满湿的泪
我的天空为何总是灰的脸
漂流在世界的另一边
任寂寞侵犯一遍一遍

[Forwarded from weber’s blog. Traceback ping was disabled so I can’t send it here :(]

　　今天是2月14日，又到了一年一度的愚人节了。我在这里祝所有的朋友愚人节快乐。
　　那天，我有个很好的朋友给我讲了个笑话，把我笑翻了，后来由于肚子太疼而进了医院。医生在给我做手术之前，问我为什么笑成这样啊，我就把那个笑话讲给他听。
　　没想到他听到后狂笑不止，最后吐了很多白沫，抢救无效，死了。

While I don’t really like Mc Hotdog, it’s here:

歌 曲:九局下半
演唱者:Mc Hotdog
作词：Mc Hotdog 编曲：Johnny G

我也想宣布独立 我握着笔 但是父母亲不肯签订
说我这项炼条约还没到期 在电视里 或许我是不起眼的明星
在他们的眼里 我只是个长不大的小孩子 多么尴尬的日子
多么尴尬 好想改变一切 只是没有银子更没有方法

MP3 available here.

Lyric:

love in your eyes
sitting silent by my side
going on holding hand
walking through the nights

2021年1月31日更新：此处引用了 http://www.kaibi.com/uploadfile/20042113271760432.jpg 的游戏截屏，并试图向陪审团的女士们先生们证明里面的某个光膀子汉子就是某人。原文位于 http://www.253874.com/txt/342329225727440201.htm，已殁。